Half of Nation's Foreclosed Homes Still Occupied

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Foreclosure sounds like the end of the line, but actual eviction can take months or years -- even after the bank has repossessed a home.

RealtyTrac estimates that 47% of the nation's foreclosed homes are currently occupied. The percentage actually tops 60% in some hot housing markets, like Miami and Los Angeles.

Those still living in repossessed homes include both former owners and renters. Either way, their time in the homes is mortgage and rent free.

To arrive at its estimate, RealtyTrac compared its database of foreclosed homes with postal records showing whether mail was still being collected and whether change-of-address forms had been filed.

Even when occupants leave voluntarily, old owners typically take about two months to vacate.

With renters, it can take a year or more. "If someone has a bona fide rental agreement, we have to abide by that," said Amy Bonitatibus, a spokeswoman for JP Morgan Chase.

Related: California city's drastic foreclosure remedy

One issue, according to Wells Fargo spokesman Tom Goyda, is that the eviction process can take months as it winds through the legal process. The timing varies widely based on local laws and the backlog of cases in individual courts.

Goyda said the bank has been trying to speed up the process by offering cash to prompt occupants to leave.

In addition, some states, like Alabama and Utah, have so-called redemption periods of up to a year during which former owners can get their home back if they can find the means to pay off their mortgages.

Related: Surprising foreclosure hotspots

And banks may be in no rush to kick people out. They will take their time in markets with a lot of homes for sale and depressed prices. Plus, letting homeowners stick around can help protect homes from abuse.

"Although one thinks lenders take losses by not moving evictions forward, they're still faring better by keeping the properties occupied," said Pauliana Lara of the Consumer Action Law Group in Los Angeles, which works with homeowners to fight foreclosures. "Many foreclosed homes get vandalized or squatters move in." 

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First Published: October 24, 2013: 4:03 AM ET

California Foreclosures Plunging, Sales Rising

The Mortgage Corner

California Foreclosures Plunging, Sales Rising

 The number of California homeowners entering the foreclosure process plunged to the lowest level in more than seven years last quarter, reports DataQuick. The unusually sharp drop in the number of mortgage default notices filed by lenders stems mainly from rising home values, a strengthening economy and government efforts to reduce foreclosures, says DQ.

No wonder, as the median price paid for a California home last quarter was $297,000, up 22.7 percent from a year ago, reports DataQuick.  During first-quarter 2013 lenders recorded 18,567 Notices of Default (NoDs) on California houses and condos. That was down 51.4 percent from 38,212 during the prior three months, and down 67.0 percent from 56,258 in first-quarter 2012

Graph: Econoday

Most of the loans going into default are still from the 2005-2007 period, per DQ. The median origination quarter for defaulted loans is still third-quarter 2006. That has been the case for more than three years, indicating that weak underwriting standards peaked then. The most active creditors in the formal foreclosure process last quarter were Wells Fargo (5,546), JP Morgan Chase (3,863) and Bank of America (2,565).

And Calculated Risk’s Bill McBride has become very sanguine about real estate’s role in boosting economic growth. He maintains that new-home sales will pick up due to unfilled demand, due to the big jump in household formation—to 1.3 million new households last year and the prediction this level will be maintained over the next decade. He sees the so-called existing-to-new home sales ratio trending back down to its historical average of 6 to 1 from its current heightened ratio, in this very interesting graph. It was the “flood’ of depressed sales from foreclosures that depressed new home sales because of the plunge in housing prices brought on by the foreclosures.              

Graph: Econoday

“According to the Census Bureau, there were 104 thousand new homes sold in Q1 2013, up about 19.5 percent from the 87 thousand sold in Q1 2012. That is a solid increase in sales, and this was the highest sales for Q1 since 2008,” said McBride.

“Although there has been a large increase in the sales rate, sales are still near the lows for previous recessions. This suggests significant upside over the next few years.  Based on estimates of household formation and demographics, I expect sales to increase to 750 to 800 thousand over the next several years. Also housing is historically the best leading indicator for the economy, and this is one of the reasons I think The future's so bright, I gotta wear shades.”

                                           Harlan Green © 2013

California home prices rise in September; sales fall

Associated Press

Posted:   10/15/2012 04:24:39 PM PDT

Updated:   10/15/2012 04:49:26 PM PDT

SAN DIEGO -- California home prices rose in September to a four-year high as the supply of properties for sale remained tight, according to surveys released Monday.

The median price for new and existing houses and condominiums in California reached $287,000, up 15.3 percent from $249,000 in September 2011, DataQuick said. The median rose $6,000 from August to reach its highest level since $301,000 in August 2008.

There were 34,453 homes sold in September, down 2.7 percent from 35,404 last year, DataQuick said. There were fewer business days this September compared with last year, explaining at least part of the first annual decline in 14 months.

The California Association of Realtors reported that buyers faced slimmer pickings.

The broker association's index of unsold inventory stood at a 3.7 months in September, down from 5.3 months a year earlier. The figure represents how long it would take to sell all existing single-family homes in California at the current sales clip. Supply in a normal market is considered to be six to seven months.

The supply of foreclosed properties continued to dwindle, helping lift the overall sales price because they tend to sell at steep discounts. DataQuick said 17.7 percent of existing homes sold in September were in foreclosure during the previous year, down from 33.8 percent during the same period last year and 58.5 percent in February 2009.

The September surveys show sales were

strongest in more expensive coastal areas, while inland regions like the Central Valley and Southern California's Inland Empire lagged.

The median price for new and existing houses and condominiums in the San Francisco Bay area reached $429,000, up 17.5 percent from $365,000 last year, DataQuick reported. The median price rose $19,000 from August to its highest level since $447,000 in August 2008.

There were 6,850 homes sold in the nine-county Bay area last month, up 1.5 percent from 6,749 last year.

Only 13.9 percent of Bay area homes sold last month had been foreclosed upon in the previous year, down from 25.4 percent a year earlier and 52 percent in February 2009.

DataQuick reported Friday that the median price for new and existing houses and condominiums in Southern California reached $315,000, up 12.5 percent from $280,000 in September 2011. The median rose $6,000 during the month to its highest level since $330,000 in August 2008.

There were 17,859 homes sold last month in the six-county region, a 1.6 percent drop than the same month last year.

AP-WF-10-15-12 2243GMT

Housing industry recovering faster than many economists expected

Home builders have boosted production of new homes nationally, and new foreclosures in California have fallen to their lowest level since early 2007.

October 17, 2012|By Alejandro Lazo and Jim Puzzanghera, Los Angeles Times

Housing is snapping back faster than many economists had expected, with home builders stepping up production of new homes nationally and fresh foreclosures in California falling to their lowest level since the early days of the bust.

Demand for housing has surged as interest rates have plummeted and home prices in many markets appear to have bottomed, particularly in states such as California where inventories of foreclosures and other lower-priced homes have sunk. The turnaround in prices and record-low supply of newly built homes also are luring builders back after six years of pain.

"The numbers are strong in September, and that is definitely a positive sign," said Celia Chen, a housing economist with Moody's Analytics. "It is confirmation that housing is lifting off the bottom."

Residential construction starts rose 15% nationally last month from August to their highest annual rate in more than four years. A separate report showed that the number of troubled California borrowers entering foreclosure hit its lowest level in the third quarter since the dawning of the mortgage meltdown.

If the gains in housing hold, they could give consumer confidence a boost and help the broader economy recover. Housing has played an important part in lifting the nation out of past downturns but was hampered this time by the severity of the Great Recession and the huge number of vacant and foreclosed homes dragging down the market for years.

Now rising prices are helping homeowners in properties that for several years have been underwater, in which the house wouldn't bring enough in a sale to pay off the mortgage. Rising values could play a role in lifting household finances if families feel more secure about the direction of the economy.

Any positive economic news presumably would be a boost for President Obama's reelection campaign, though both he and Republican challenger Mitt Romney have largely avoided a detailed debate on housing policy. Many on the left have said that Obama's tepid and patchwork response to the housing downturn resulted in a slower recovery while the right has decried his policies as interventionist failures.

Michael D. Larson, a housing and interest rate analyst for Weiss Research, said the Federal Reserve's policies to keep mortgage interest rates low and Obama's foreclosure prevention efforts have played some role in the recovery — but the improvements can mostly be attributed to natural market dynamics.

"It is certainly encouraging; housing has been this lead anchor around the economy's neck," he said. But "most of this is just the passage of time. I think if the Fed or the government had done absolutely nothing … we still would have seen some demand return."

Several recent trends have underscored improvement in housing. Nationally, home builder stocks are up, prices have begun a modest recovery, and sales of newly built and previously owned homes have risen.

The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that construction of houses and apartment buildings rose in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 872,000, marking the third straight month of improvement. The figures surpassed economists' expectations of about a 770,000 annual rate.

September had the best monthly performance since July 2008, when housing starts were on an annual pace of 923,000. Compared with September 2011, new housing starts jumped 34.8%, the Commerce Department said.

Last month's growth was "surprisingly strong," said David Crowe, chief economist at the National Assn. of Home Builders. "As consumer confidence rises and jobs return, more local markets and more consumers will join the buyer market, and I expect housing construction to continue a modest but fairly steady rise throughout 2013 and into 2014."

The annual rate of new home groundbreaking still is far below the peak of more than 2.2 million units reached in early 2006 during the housing bubble. But the pace has picked up dramatically from the low of 478,000 in April 2009, and is up sharply from the 706,000 annual rate in May. Building permits for private housing construction, a sign of future activity, also jumped in September, up 11.6% from August and 45.1% from a year earlier. The annual rate in September was 894,000 building permits.

Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight, said the increases were likely due to gains in household growth after years of people doubling or tripling up to wait out the worst of the downturn.

"What's kicking in right now is simply the demographics," Newport said. "We have been building at too low a rate for four years, and so demand has been suppressed because of the recession, and now it is starting to kick in."

On the other side of the housing pipeline, the shortage of cheaply priced homes in California appears poised to continue. The number of Californians entering foreclosure dropped in the third quarter to its lowest level since early 2007, according to a report from real estate firm DataQuick. Foreclosure filings have fallen as banks work toward completing more loan modifications and short sales. An improving economy and rising prices have also helped.

"Prices in most areas today are up significantly from their low point in early 2009," said John Walsh, president of DataQuick. "Additionally, during the past year, we've seen short sales overtake the foreclosure process as the procedure of choice to deal with homeowner distress."

Notices of default fell 10.2% from the prior quarter and 31.2% from the same period last year, DataQuick reported. A total of 49,026 notices of default — the first stage of foreclosure in California — were filed on homes in the Golden State last quarter.

That was the lowest number since the first quarter of 2007, and a 63% decline from the first quarter of 2009, when notice of default filings peaked in the state.

The number of homes lost to foreclosure rose 5% from the prior quarter and dropped 41% from a year earlier. A total of 22,949 homes were lost to foreclosure last quarter.

alejandro.lazo@latimes.com

jim.puzzanghera@latimes.com

Lazo reported from Los Angeles and Puzzanghera from Washington.